TECHNOLOGICAL MANAGEMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF PROTOTYPES IN THE PLANTAIN AGRIBUSINESS CHAIN. A look from S-Curves, Patent-Papers matrix and Hypecyle

Abstract

Agroindustrial sectors in developing countries requires identifying technologies and innovations and applying technology management methods to enhance efficiency, competitiveness, and quality of life for agricultural producers and their associations. The objective of this paper is to identify and prioritize technologies and innovations related to the Plantain Agroindustrial chain as support for technology transfer processes. This study applies technological management methods to evaluate the feasibility of emerging prototypes in the plantain agri-food chain, using S-curves, inflection points from time series of papers and patents, Patent-Papers matrix, emergence components, Hype Cycle. The methods used include establishing critical surveillance factors such as plantain- biopolym, biofilm, biodegrade, thermoplast, 5 Scopus search equations, time series analysis via 13 nonlinear regression models in Sigmaplot, Python for validation of inflection points, text mining, NLP, cooccurrence matrices. 27 emergency components were identified through the Hypecycle, in the S curve, the inflection points in 4 time series generated values prior to 2025 and only 1 equation related to biodegradable polymer blends, thermoplastic starch, and biodegradable film generated a turning point in papers in the year 2029, the patent papers matrix allowed to classify the topics and technologies analyzed in four quadrants according to the papers and patents axes, finally the emergency analysis obtained with the vantage point software identified to China, Thailand, and India as main producers with a particular focus on migration to sustainable and safe markets, in the American continent countries such as Brazil, Mexico, the United States, Colombia, and Ecuador are countries with constant and growing research report.