Energy impact of the introduction of light vehicles for private use in Peru in the medium-term

Abstract

In many countries, road transport is dominated by vehicles with internal combustion engines, whether gasoline or diesel, which represents a challenge for decarbonization in the world. In industrialized countries there is an interest in electric vehicles, Peru is no exception. In order to achieve the emissions reduction objectives, to improve air quality and to reduce GHG, reducing fossil fuel imports and progressively eliminating energy dependency. The impact of electric vehicles on the consumption of fossil fuels and the effects on energy consumption in the transportation sector in Peru were studied. This analysis begins by creating scenarios with different rates of penetration in the local market, with the purpose of forecasting the demand for fossil, as well as the electricity demand that will be generated, LEAP methodology was used for this. In the BAU scenario, the CO2 emissions projections are made without the introduction of this new technology, then different scenarios are created for different EV penetration rates. The results evaluate how its diffusion impacts the environment in the reduction of polluting emissions. In the moderate scenario (AAP), a reduction in energy consumption of 3.87% is expected, indicating that 6.2x106 GJ of electrical energy will be needed, which represents a 4.75% reduction in GHG. This indicates that electric vehicles are an option to improve the air quality of Lima since it is the city with the worst air quality in Latin America.