Simplified hydrological models for the simulation and analysis of the Colombian electricity market

Autores/as

  • Oscar Germán Duarte Velasco Universidad Nacional de Colombia - (CO), Colombia
  • Erika Sofía Olaya Escobar Escuela Colombiana De Ingeniería “Julio Garavito” - (CO)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18687/LACCEI2026.1.1.2025

Palabras clave:

Modeling, energy data science, water resources, colombian energy market

Resumen

Three lumped models of hydrological behaviour relevant to analysing the energy market in Colombia have been developed. The variables modelled are water inflows, the reference path and expectations of future water inflows. To demonstrate the effectiveness of these models, the performance of a neural network-based model is presented, which successfully predicts the average bid price of hydroelectric power with 99% accuracy

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Publicado

2026-07-27

Número

Sección

Articles

Licencia

Licencia Creative Commons

Esta obra está bajo una Licencia Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional.

LACCEI conserva el copyright de todos los artículos publicados bajo los términos de su acuerdo de transferencia de copyright. Como titular del copyright, LACCEI distribuye los artículos al público bajo la Licencia Internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0).

Cómo citar

Duarte Velasco, O. G., & Olaya Escobar, E. S. (2026). Simplified hydrological models for the simulation and analysis of the Colombian electricity market. LACCEI, 1(14). https://doi.org/10.18687/LACCEI2026.1.1.2025